Bala Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
BAN
5 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 2
CEF
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
CEF
8%
15%
76%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 1
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |