Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
5º
2º
39
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
8 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
SWA
0 - 0
CAR
32%
22%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
PEN
43%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |