Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
6º
3º
34
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 3
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
BAL
25%
22%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAR
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABE
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MOL
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |