Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
5º
41
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 4
BAL
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
ABE
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 7
TNS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
FLI
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
PON
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
5 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |