Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
ABE
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 4
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 3
CAR
9%
15%
76%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | +1 |