Bala Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
RHY
2 - 0
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
6 - 1
RHY
68%
19%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |