Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
6º
6º
37
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 19 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 17 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 14 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 12 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 12 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 10 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 38.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
11% | 48.5% |
|
Next round
|
87.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HAV
3 - 2
BAL
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CON
0 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAE
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 0
FLI
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAE
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 5
TNS
49%
23%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAE
20%
23%
58%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |