Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
BAL
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
FLI
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
42%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
ABE
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 3
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |