Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 3
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 5
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 7
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAL
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |