Bala Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 4
PRE
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 3
BAL
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
4 - 0
LID
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
LID
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
7 - 1
LID
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LID
0 - 5
BAL
15%
21%
65%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LID
2 - 8
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |