Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 3
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
34%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
3 - 5
BAL
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
HAV
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |