Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 2
HAV
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 5
BAL
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
SDL
2 - 0
BAL
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
ABE
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
3 - 1
FLI
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |