Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 4
BAL
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 3
AIR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 4
ALL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 0
RHY
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
ABE
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |