Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
BAL
27%
25%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
BAL
23%
22%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 4
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
ABE
22%
20%
57%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 1
PRE
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |