Bala Azul vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
4 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 3
PUL
35%
25%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 1
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
MSM
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
PIN
59%
24%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 0
JUM
47%
26%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 0
IMP
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 0
PUL
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
2 - 2
IMP
10%
20%
70%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |