Bala Azul vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
22%
23%
56%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
0 - 1
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IMP
3 - 0
AGU
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 0
PIN
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
IMP
9%
20%
72%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 1
PLU
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |