Bala Azul vs Lorca FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 0
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
PIN
35%
23%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
4 - 1
BAL
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CIE
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 2
MIN
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IMP
2 - 3
LFC
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 2
MIN
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
LFC
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 1
YEC
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |