Bala Azul vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MME
0 - 1
BAL
41%
22%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BAL
4 - 2
CLU
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MSM
0 - 1
BAL
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 0
EFA
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAL
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALC
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 0
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |