Bala Azul vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CCS
0 - 4
BAL
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
EFA
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RMC
2 - 0
BAL
65%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAL
3 - 1
CDB
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARC
3 - 1
BAL
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
CIE
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ABA
0 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CCS
1 - 4
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
EFA
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RMC
4 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |