Bala Azul vs CD Algar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 2
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARC
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
CFC
63%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 2
MAZ
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDA
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 3
BAL
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDA
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 2
CDA
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |