Bala Azul vs Fuente Alamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
ASC
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
MAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CHU
3 - 4
BAL
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALG
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fuente Alamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
5 - 1
PAL
80%
14%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 4
ABA
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAL
72%
18%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 5
YEC
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
7 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |