Bakhmaro vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BAK
4 - 1
RVA
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 4
BAK
4%
12%
84%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
BAK
2 - 0
LTB
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +4 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SKO
1 - 2
BAK
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
BAK
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIO
54%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
KOL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 2
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 3
GAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |