Bakhmaro vs Mertskhali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
SUL
3 - 0
BAK
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BAK
3 - 0
ODI
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAK
51%
20%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
BAK
3 - 0
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
IME
3 - 0
BAK
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
RAC
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
KOL
4 - 2
MER
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
SAM
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
SAP
4 - 1
MER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 4
SUL
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |