Bakhmaro vs Matchakhela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
BAK
2 - 0
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LTB
2 - 1
BAK
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 0
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
BAK
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 2
SAT
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Matchakhela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 1
RVA
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 0
MAT
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 1
NOR
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LTB
6 - 1
MAT
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
MER
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |