Baka City vs Chitipa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baka City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 0
BCF
70%
17%
14%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
DDY
20%
21%
58%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 2
AZT
29%
26%
45%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 1
FOM
23%
21%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
MOY
4 - 1
BCF
63%
21%
17%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Chitipa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 0
MOY
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AZT
1 - 0
CHU
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CSF
1 - 1
CHU
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
FOM
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CHU
1 - 3
EHF
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |