Baía de Pemba vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BTF
3 - 0
BDP
16%
22%
63%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COS
3 - 0
BDP
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 0
LIC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TEX
2 - 1
BDP
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 1
DES
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
COS
48%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 0
FER
31%
30%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
TEX
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DES
1 - 2
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
HCB
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |