Baía de Pemba vs Desportivo de Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
BDP
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BDP
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BBM
3 - 0
BDP
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 0
VIL
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
COS
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
DES
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DES
3 - 2
TEX
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BTF
1 - 2
DES
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 1
DES
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |