Bahlinger SC vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
17º
16º
9
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
16 | 64 |
1º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 61 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 60 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 60 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 60 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 51 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 51 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 36 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 31 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 27 |
18º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahlinger SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 1
BAH
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 5
OFC
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STE
0 - 2
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
GOP
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
BAH
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
HOF
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 1
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 1
FRE
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
OFC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STE
0 - 2
FRE
53%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |