Bahia U20 vs São Paulo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 6
PAL
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GOI
3 - 3
BAH
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 2
CEA
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
BAH
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
INT
1 - 3
BAH
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
BRA
6 - 4
SAO
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 4
CRU
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 5
PAL
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CEA
4 - 3
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
GOI
4 - 3
SAO
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |