Copa Do Brasil U20 Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Bahia U17 vs Fortaleza U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
BAH
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BAH
7 - 0
AEC
81%
12%
6%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
6 - 2
BAH
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
7 - 2
BOT
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRI
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
FOR
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PVT
2 - 2
FOR
13%
16%
71%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
PVT
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 4
RFE
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |