Baiano 1 Final
Global 4-3
Bahia de Feira vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
BAH
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 3
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
CFC
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
VIT
12%
20%
69%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |