Bahia de Feira vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 2
AEC
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
86%
11%
3%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
VIT
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |