Bahia de Feira vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 3
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 0
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SER
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |