Bahia de Feira vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 1
BAH
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
IPI
0 - 1
BAH
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 1
IPI
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 5
BAH
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
BAH
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 1
VIT
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MDE
3 - 2
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
MDE
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
BAH
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |