Bahia de Feira vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |