Bahardar vs Mechal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
10º
2º
40
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
SIB
1 - 1
BAH
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
KGI
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 2
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 0
ADK
51%
26%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ETB
1 - 3
BAH
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
WOL
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AWK
0 - 2
MAK
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
MEH
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 2
SIB
43%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
KGI
0 - 0
MAK
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |