Bahardar vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
AWK
0 - 1
BAH
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAH
1 - 1
DIR
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
KGI
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 0
ENB
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MKE
1 - 1
BAH
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ETH
2 - 0
AWK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
WED
1 - 2
ETH
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
ETH
3 - 1
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 0
ETH
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ENB
1 - 1
ETH
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |