Bahardar vs Ethiopian Insurance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WED
0 - 1
BAH
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
HAD
1 - 0
BAH
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 2
ADK
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 2
ENB
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
SIB
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ADK
2 - 2
ETH
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 0
WOL
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ETB
3 - 0
ETH
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 1
SCT
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ENB
4 - 1
ETH
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |