WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 2-4
Bahamas vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
DMA
1 - 1
BHS
77%
14%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BHS
0 - 4
HTI
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
HTI
9 - 0
BHS
82%
14%
5%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BHS
2 - 1
AIA
76%
14%
9%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
AIA
1 - 3
BHS
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
DMA
1 - 1
BHS
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 1
DMA
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 5
DMA
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 5 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
DMA
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |