Bahamas vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
67%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GUY
3 - 2
BHS
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BHS
1 - 6
PRI
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
VCT
1 - 1
BHS
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BHS
0 - 3
TTO
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BHS
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PRI
5 - 0
ATG
39%
23%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 5
GUY
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 5
GLP
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 2
BRB
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GLP
0 - 1
ATG
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |