Bahamas vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BLZ
4 - 0
BHS
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BMU
3 - 0
BHS
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BHS
0 - 5
BMU
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BHS
6 - 0
TCA
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TCA
0 - 4
BHS
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 3
LCA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 2
JAM
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
JAM
1 - 1
ATG
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |