Bahamas vs Anguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BHS
0 - 6
ATG
25%
21%
55%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BLZ
4 - 0
BHS
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BMU
3 - 0
BHS
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BHS
0 - 5
BMU
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BHS
6 - 0
TCA
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Anguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
NIC
6 - 0
AIA
78%
15%
8%
|
5 | 54 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
AIA
0 - 5
GUF
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 53 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AIA
0 - 4
PRI
5%
14%
81%
|
5 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUY
7 - 0
AIA
88%
9%
3%
|
5 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AIA
0 - 3
NIC
11%
18%
71%
|
5 | 48 | 43 | 0 |