Bagnolese vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
BAG
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 2
RIM
28%
25%
48%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
COR
4 - 1
BAG
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
0 - 2
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
BSD
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 2
ACP
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 1
GHI
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USR
1 - 0
GHI
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GHI
3 - 5
ASD
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GHI
5 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |