Bagnolese vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
USR
1 - 0
BAG
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 1
SAM
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAG
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
2 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAG
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
ACP
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 1
BSD
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GHI
4 - 3
BSD
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BSD
2 - 1
SER
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RIM
4 - 0
BSD
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |