Baghdad FC vs Naft Al-Wasat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
DUH
2 - 0
BAG
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
3 - 1
KAR
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALZ
0 - 0
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALN
24%
30%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 1
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Naft Al-Wasat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WAS
1 - 2
HUD
38%
31%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ALZ
2 - 0
WAS
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
3 - 0
WAS
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
WAS
0 - 0
ALM
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
WAS
0 - 0
ALT
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |