Baghdad FC vs Karbala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALZ
0 - 0
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALN
24%
30%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 1
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALS
19%
27%
54%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
HUD
2 - 1
BAG
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Karbala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 0
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 3
ALQ
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
KAR
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
ALN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 0
KAR
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |