Baghdad FC vs Duhok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAG
0 - 0
HUD
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
BAG
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 2
ALZ
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NSC
3 - 2
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 1
NAF
25%
30%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Duhok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
QAS
1 - 3
DUH
39%
29%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DUH
2 - 2
WAS
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
DUH
0 - 0
KAR
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZAK
0 - 0
DUH
38%
31%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DUH
2 - 1
ALQ
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |