Baghdad FC vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALN
0 - 0
BAG
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BAG
0 - 0
ALS
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
ALS
3 - 1
BAG
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ALN
1 - 1
BAG
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BAG
0 - 1
WAS
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
WAS
1 - 0
ARB
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 3
ALK
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
NAF
1 - 0
ARB
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NMI
0 - 1
ARB
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ARB
2 - 1
HUD
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |