Baghdad FC vs Al Zawraa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NSC
3 - 2
BAG
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BAG
1 - 1
NAF
25%
30%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 0
BAG
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALQ
1 - 1
BAG
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BAG
0 - 1
ALM
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ALK
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 0
ALN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 3
ALZ
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ALT
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ZAK
1 - 0
ALZ
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |