Baghdad FC vs Al Simawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
BAG
1 - 0
ALT
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BAG
0 - 3
ALN
42%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ALZ
1 - 0
BAG
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
BAG
1 - 3
ALM
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
WAS
0 - 1
BAG
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Simawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
NAF
2 - 1
ALS
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 1
ALS
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
35%
31%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALZ
32%
30%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALS
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |